TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf25a…d724

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)backed Fredrikstad FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC København win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will PSV vs. NEC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Göztepe SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Galatasaray SK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Trabzonspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Viking FK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$15.47
Will Livingston FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$11.07
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
Will Millwall FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$34.28
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$49.23
Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Norwich City FC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$40.4
Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$14.56
Hertha BSC vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+301.8%+$105.64
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$20.44
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+65%+$16.26
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$25.62
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 5 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cherbourg: Jurij Rodionov vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+301.3%+$90.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.