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Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$570,312

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,312 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No38c140,001$53,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,200.461952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes64c140,000$89,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,399.865349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No37c55,158$20,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,306.176659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes62c52,827$32,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,973.6422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c47,500$17,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,075.116033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes64c32,969$21,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,868.754070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No36c26,111$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.98650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes62c19,900$12,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5623348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c19,762$7,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,312.15641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes62c17,002$10,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,460.9434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No37c16,781$6,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,209.071323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes63c13,926$8,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,152.788743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes76c13,460$10,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,238.396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes63c13,000$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8105550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No36c11,924$4,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,292.6440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No36c8,700$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.6345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9601338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes64c7,955$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.579137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c7,626$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.6668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c6,265$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.31,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No37c4,536$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,678.181822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No37c4,534$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No36c4,427$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.5433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.997560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No37c3,927$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.891250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes63c3,333$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.217444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No4c3,328$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.074744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No3c3,327$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7520431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes64c3,290$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.44540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes63c2,970$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.9124939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c2,626$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.6341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9882240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No36c2,236$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No18c2,159$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes63c2,052$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.0535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes62c2,047$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.9433357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7203125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes62c1,889$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.916045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes64c1,883$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No38c1,578$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.647945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c1,439$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No39c1,283$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No36c1,267$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.122040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No26c1,204$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0211136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes63c1,053$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.615424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3707255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes57c999.98$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No12c919.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.514524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes59c769.99$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.73043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c746.07$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No36c699.69$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8916251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes62c686.76$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c650$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2167558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e2…8e08backed No10c597.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes63c597$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No36c557.41$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.67933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes63c545.43$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.3840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d33…3b2dbacked Yes63c523.81$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No19c519.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes62c516.53$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No38c516.16$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9815844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed No37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.875933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c446.2$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.633951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c84…9acfbacked Yes70c416.56$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No36c415.12$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.83438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Yes64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1483571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No25c378.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5123244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed No27c376.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes62c375$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No27c369.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.457347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed No17c360.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No38c315.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.513946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Yes64c312$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No34c310.65$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.921643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Yes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No36c299.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5926046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No37c294.59$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb80a…1a43backed Yes62c290.44$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No37c288$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.561040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No37c286.49$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No36c253.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes57c252.72$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+70.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes62c246.17$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5419542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.