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Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,600 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c23,103$3,451 inLost-$3,451.422,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c2,928$2,253 inWon+$67543955.4%243 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes23c1,344$304 inLost-$304.474845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No77c1,314$1,012 inWon+$302.222466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes23c1,299$299 inLost-$298.779137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c623.87$478 inWon+$145.4240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No75c597.32$451 inWon+$146.544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes11c518.21$57 inLost-$5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes19c459.29$85 inLost-$85.2723244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes23c452.91$104 inLost-$104.171723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c436.01$100 inLost-$100.2845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9379…1173backed Yes23c435.21$100 inLost-$100.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a0…75bdbacked Yes12c424.19$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked Yes23c398$92 inLost-$91.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes3c380.83$11 inLost-$113420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No77c363.35$280 inWon+$83.5737250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…af91backed Yes23c361.71$83 inLost-$83.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes14c305.01$43 inLost-$431637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes24c291.05$70 inLost-$69.8514553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes6c252.14$16 inLost-$1650%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes24c250.03$60 inLost-$60.511136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No78c232.53$181 inWon+$51.164447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes10c231.63$23 inLost-$23.22725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes22c183$40 inLost-$40.263228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes24c177.72$43 inLost-$434032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes18c176.33$31 inLost-$31.181225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a0f…8e1dbacked No78c165.94$129 inWon+$36.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…fc39backed No78c153.01$119 inWon+$33.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Yes23c153$35 inLost-$35.199353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc97f…2da1backed No78c145.01$113 inWon+$31.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed No78c132.33$103 inWon+$29.11850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a09…3e02backed No78c123.94$97 inWon+$27.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb520…6e24backed Yes12c121.57$15 inLost-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaae…4d2bbacked No78c116.26$91 inWon+$25.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed No77c100$77 inWon+$23966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost-$2526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No76c100$76 inWon+$244379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29d9…91a2backed No77c100$77 inWon+$23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c100$74 inWon+$25.86070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes23c99.99$23 inLost-$234252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No80c97.84$78 inWon+$19.7418253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c95$23 inLost-$22.841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe89f…0034backed No78c92.76$72 inWon+$20.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes23c87.87$20 inLost-$20.2119542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c87$20 inLost-$20.0148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd423…3c98backed Yes23c86.9$20 inLost-$19.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c86.7$67 inWon+$19.9472050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes12c84.63$10 inLost-$10.151643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c82$19 inLost-$18.8627241.2%112 W · 160 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes23c75$17 inLost-$17.253729.7%11 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xabf9…7205backed Yes23c73.91$17 inLost-$171020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-65.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No77c64.16$49 inWon+$14.7632150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Yes24c61.76$15 inLost-$15.041936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a2…e49cbacked Yes24c60$15 inLost-$14.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c59.46$46 inWon+$13.6741253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes23c56.52$13 inLost-$1320741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ab…10c8backed Yes22c53.99$12 inLost-$12.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No77c52.63$41 inWon+$12.123245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No77c50$39 inWon+$11.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked Yes29c43.32$13 inLost-$12.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No77c40$31 inWon+$9.29642.7%41 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No76c37.3$28 inWon+$8.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No76c37.3$28 inWon+$8.9536046.4%167 W · 193 L-1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No77c30$23 inWon+$6.910957.8%63 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No77c25$19 inWon+$5.7513160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No77c25$19 inWon+$5.757558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No77c25$19 inWon+$5.7514255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No77c24$18 inWon+$5.5821251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No78c21.08$16 inWon+$4.645955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No77c20$15 inWon+$4.64650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed No77c20$15 inWon+$4.63158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No77c15$12 inWon+$3.453060%18 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.