TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a2…e49c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$21.64
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+32.7%+$11.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+54.2%+$46.96
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.89
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33%+$11.87
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+233.3%+$23.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+71.2%+$25.85
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.6%+$8.91
Watford FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+134.3%+$83.14
Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.53
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.56
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.7%+$7.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+41.7%+$18.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$144.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.85
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+140.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.98
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45.34
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+109.7%+$11.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Terriers vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+256%+$38.87
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Rider Broncsbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+110.8%+$57.27
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+207.3%+$28.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.