TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$445,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Yes41c68,000$27,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,119.732740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes41c61,181$25,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,102.583557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No23c31,261$7,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,227.546942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes77c30,000$23,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9005040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No58c26,290$15,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,248.22045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No58c23,900$13,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,860.271338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c21,162$12,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,460.8252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No59c20,532$12,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,093.0387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c16,902$8,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,096.9271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No57c15,000$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,55013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes41c14,624$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,628.293256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No57c9,570$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c8,508$4,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,512.591,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No59c8,036$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,741.245040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes42c7,976$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,626.193231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No59c7,500$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4251952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes43c6,418$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.2137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No57c4,999$2,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes42c4,845$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No58c4,200$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4361258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3604057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes43c3,333$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.484468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No57c2,629$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c2,616$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.8838056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No59c2,600$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5347741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4509355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes40c2,488$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No58c2,362$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3701957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No57c2,333$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3301154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes42c2,121$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.4519055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes41c2,013$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c1,944$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.4528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked No59c1,804$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No12c1,641$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8854751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No58c1,432$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8302944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes41c1,427$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.764841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes74c1,389$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.054348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes75c1,348$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.693256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75fe…70eebacked No30c1,300$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No59c1,187$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.331376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No30c1,086$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3259447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No54c1,060$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.644856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No59c981.5$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.091010%1 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick54cpaid-79.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No58c921.6$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.215048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.893141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed No58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes46c852.17$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20a2…dc15backed No59c630.44$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.242441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes43c589$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No57c513$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.412548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No58c500$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2894365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No58c499.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.126233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed No57c456.14$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No18c446.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes42c441.43$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0323250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c433$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed No54c398.93$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes42c361.32$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.576132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767c…9aadbacked No58c330.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.69650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Yes70c317.14$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No24c312.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.131942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed No59c311.07$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.53757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No59c310.8$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.373756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No7c306.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.271154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No8c305.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4618847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c293.13$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2118155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c277.85$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.321,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes79c272.41$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.511855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea3…b910backed Yes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No59c264.79$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3314045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No58c264.24$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked No60c251.67$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed No18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes41c244.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5511644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x871b…b344backed No32c234.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No57c228.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No59c220$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No58c211.91$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No59c210$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.