Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c2d0479904063051ac84fe0922ef5626677c065edcdb99abab3894bfc5419b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 8,358$6,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.68 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 74c | 5,410$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.65 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 5,118$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.58 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 4,102$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.56 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,538$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,656$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 2,646$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.69 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 28c | 1,325$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,189$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.99 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,185$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 858.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 10c | 730$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 27c | 648.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 8c | 576.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…5227backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…b48bbacked Yes | 21c | 394.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 14c | 352.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 30c | 329.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 18c | 322.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 314.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 28c | 285.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 281.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…287ebacked Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes | 21c | 190$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 80c | 188$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 27c | 165.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Yes | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…93ecbacked Yes | 28c | 145.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…1177backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…0e55backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 20c | 111.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 103.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 101.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…cebfbacked Yes | 28c | 77.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 70.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 72c | 69.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 22c | 55.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…00c8backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…92f5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 47.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 27c | 42.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 80c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.