TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5c1…0101

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.25
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.51
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$53.75
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.99
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$50.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$30.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.5
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.31
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.25
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$234.1
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.2
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$6.42
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56.03
Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$249.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$23.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36.3%+$45.86
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$45.98
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.3%+$64.61
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$252
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will PSV win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$79.69
Will FC Volendam vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$51.56
Will Antalyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will NEC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will FC Porto vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+132.5%+$113.96
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35%+$12.95
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+32.6%+$75.05
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+288%+$1,759.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+74.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25.4%+$15.78
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.91
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$170.48
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+900%+$115.2
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+270.4%+$29.2
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+25%+$3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$122
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$224.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$350.84
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$1,210.42
Netanyahu out by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$140.5
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+168.8%+$188.22
Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$861
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$314.05
Israel military action against Iraq by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+53.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+270.4%+$71.61
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.7%+$93.26
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+102%+$101
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$196.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+45.1%+$31.25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$60.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will head of FEMA be fired/resign before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs CyberDynamo (BO3)backed Team zoneR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$354.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.