La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244594c21b55f9f07af5a288ff9f41ff77324aa24b6fcc6f8341337c23c62806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,203,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,071,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,203,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 18c | 600,000$108,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,000 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…9ccfbacked Yes | 77c | 590,915$452,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,388.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 18c | 555,555$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.9 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 23c | 259,924$59,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,827.23 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 77c | 213,926$163,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,222.41 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 21c | 158,078$32,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,655.29 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…b1babacked No | 24c | 156,662$37,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,799 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 19c | 142,566$27,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,263.25 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 78c | 122,425$95,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,639.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 18c | 122,106$22,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,039.58 | 113 | 39.8%45 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed No | 19c | 110,000$20,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 75c | 101,983$76,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,635.52 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 18c | 95,944$17,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,301.31 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 18c | 74,185$13,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,353.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 79c | 63,851$50,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,121.37 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 25c | 56,726$14,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,181.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…da22backed No | 20c | 54,500$10,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,924.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 24c | 52,300$12,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,445 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 79c | 52,287$41,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,980.27 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 18c | 50,500$9,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,055 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 18c | 50,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 29c | 44,444$12,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,888.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 79c | 41,943$33,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.12 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 18c | 40,416$7,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.76 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 18c | 29,877$5,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 28,221$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.26 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 28,021$21,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.65 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 19c | 25,932$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.09 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…843fbacked No | 24c | 25,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 18c | 24,400$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 79c | 24,191$18,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.82 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 18c | 23,045$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.47 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 73c | 22,984$16,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095.89 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Yes | 80c | 22,500$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 30c | 22,255$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 8c | 22,234$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.9 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…7895backed No | 25c | 20,250$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 18c | 20,041$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.29 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 23c | 19,516$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.71 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 19,169$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,115.71 | 2,381 | 48.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 11c | 18,300$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 18c | 18,204$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked No | 20c | 18,193$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 18c | 17,394$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…24febacked Yes | 76c | 16,660$12,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e7…39a0backed No | 22c | 16,423$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 18c | 15,520$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes | 75c | 15,423$11,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…08ffbacked No | 22c | 14,914$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 19c | 13,200$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.96 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…6b7bbacked Yes | 80c | 13,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…9870backed Yes | 79c | 11,966$9,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 25c | 10,333$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 11c | 10,280$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.27 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 75c | 10,216$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…584bbacked No | 2c | 10,099$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 74c | 10,003$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 21c | 9,800$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 27c | 9,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 25c | 9,310$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.49 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 77c | 8,809$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.38 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 29c | 8,627$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 22c | 7,620$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed Yes | 76c | 7,500$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 22c | 7,405$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 11c | 7,273$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 7,195$5,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.98 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 21c | 7,000$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.65 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 77c | 6,671$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 1c | 6,539$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 2c | 6,372$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Yes | 79c | 6,264$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 75c | 5,977$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 23c | 5,805$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.35 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 27c | 5,738$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.72 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 19c | 5,499$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.88 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.29 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.95 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…8a83backed No | 25c | 4,808$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 18c | 4,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 80c | 4,766$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.15 | 359 | 34.8%125 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 24c | 4,200$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 20c | 3,999$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 23c | 3,978$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.03 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…5e4bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 74c | 3,528$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.27 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 18c | 3,300$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.