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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,029,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$908,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,029,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes6c238,492$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes8c69,450$5,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600.9210536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes6c40,040$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes9c39,144$3,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.411339.8%45 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes8c33,075$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.548450%42 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes7c31,607$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.1321944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes8c31,223$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.4313641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes6c30,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes7c29,166$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.932,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes7c26,750$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.691,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef2…8a9bbacked Yes0c25,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes8c23,910$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.911931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes6c22,793$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.021,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes9c20,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8008551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes8c17,465$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.191338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a0…b6cbbacked Yes10c12,261$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.6440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes6c10,776$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.66434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c8,460$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.884,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes6c7,071$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6848548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes7c6,176$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.7590543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3998…42a3backed Yes1c5,426$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901b…e325backed Yes6c5,422$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes6c4,795$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.735034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes7c4,425$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1964839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7e67backed Yes0c3,960$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes7c3,655$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.651,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Yes6c3,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes6c3,488$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21015641%64 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes7c3,476$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.33754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes8c3,274$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.856041.7%25 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes8c3,114$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.382839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes8c3,073$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7747749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes8c2,925$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4618146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes1c2,636$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.36147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c2,625$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.531,45845.1%658 W · 800 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes9c2,393$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.333630.6%11 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Yes10c2,200$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018458.2%107 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c1,914$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.81,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes6c1,756$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8819943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes9c1,750$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.56656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes7c1,453$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6185850.3%432 W · 426 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes8c1,378$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3373549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9538…4736backed Yes8c1,321$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+369.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c1,286$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024526.9%66 W · 179 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cf…0579backed Yes8c1,198$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7919426.3%51 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020322.2%45 W · 158 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes8c999.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.254247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes8c795.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes8c771.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb3…c372backed Yes8c708$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9780%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes8c651.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes8c649.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes8c606.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Yes8c602.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe017…a650backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes8c547.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.021118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes7c505$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.35616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes8c468.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3835934.8%125 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes4c393.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Yes10c381$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.911526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes7c369$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x072b…4d24backed Yes9c367.22$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513129.8%39 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9018…c54cbacked Yes7c328.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8979…3e4abacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-87.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes10c291.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5112854.7%70 W · 58 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2202…91adbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e28…882bbacked Yes7c270.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5cd…6055backed Yes7c266.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes7c265.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.844240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes8c264.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.314264.3%27 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f1e…ed40backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11fe…93e0backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46c…ad94backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Yes6c248.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes9c244.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-71%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…46c1backed Yes8c243.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6387…1219backed Yes8c240.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes10c234.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.646334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Yes10c234.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.642330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Yes5c232.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.593925.6%10 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad90…1012backed Yes10c231.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb54f…fa26backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes9c205.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes9c204.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.643148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes6c201.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.514122%9 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414527.6%40 W · 105 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick14cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.