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La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$382,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes12c123,577$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes15c50,028$7,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,503.9810536.2%38 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes21c41,939$8,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,608.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b81…4967backed Yes11c12,871$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.12147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-89%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No79c12,019$9,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.8911655.2%64 W · 52 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c11,064$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.121,26332.5%411 W · 852 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes14c7,056$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.847163.4%45 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c5,889$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.7997543%419 W · 556 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05023842.4%101 W · 137 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c3,375$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3259138.7%229 W · 362 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No80c2,947$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.451,69838.5%654 W · 1,044 L+7.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes12c2,903$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9439545.3%179 W · 216 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes19c2,698$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes18c2,132$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.69166.3%1 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick26cpaid-89.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28028947.8%138 W · 151 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901b…e325backed Yes12c1,965$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes14c1,467$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4836633.3%122 W · 244 L+1.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e42…f5bbbacked Yes22c1,401$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.171241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes8c1,387$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9312845.3%58 W · 70 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes16c1,244$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.024030%12 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes19c1,050$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023022.2%51 W · 179 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes21c979.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.634240.5%17 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes14c854.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.581225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968245.1%37 W · 45 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes16c789.39$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.32,40948.4%1,165 W · 1,244 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes12c700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849025.6%23 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc134…feddbacked Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes23c678.26$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa108…abd3backed Yes23c582.61$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba8…0f27backed Yes16c562.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1234…9bd1backed Yes23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes14c477.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3998…42a3backed Yes2c457.59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344c…a1aebacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes16c385.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6486550.4%436 W · 429 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes18c376.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.714065%26 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Yes22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes19c282$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3221942.9%94 W · 125 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes19c272.66$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.47350.7%37 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd46c…ad94backed Yes12c249.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6648…4798backed Yes12c249$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes12c231$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes17c230.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404833.3%16 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Yes17c228$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes13c225.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.31717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes16c225$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c209.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.193845.3%425 W · 513 L-30.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7e67backed Yes11c209.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb3…c372backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513429.9%40 W · 94 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes12c182.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.918153.1%43 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee51…3b20backed Yes16c182.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc7…443fbacked Yes15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…efddbacked Yes14c157.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6a…6d09backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Yes14c136.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.152630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes15c120.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.964146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2721…3e21backed Yes16c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Yes9c114.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed No76c113.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes17c103.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.356543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Yes15c95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.052157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes15c90.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.675257.2%430 W · 322 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85b1…0606backed Yes15c74.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes15c67.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.120846.2%96 W · 112 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cb…9d8cbacked Yes20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a29…9feebacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes22c47.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.562147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No76c39.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Yes26c38.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.