TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7689…dd2b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6740.3%27 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.87
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$50.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.42
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$49.68
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+365.4%+$160.76
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.71
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.39
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.76
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.15
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$83.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33%+$32.3
Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$32.35
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41.63
Will Real Racing Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+512.7%+$76.91
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.33
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+356.6%+$78.46
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$55.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$43.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+331%+$76.54
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.61
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.17
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.05
Will Argentina vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$50.86
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.1%+$29.57
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+31.7%+$26.94
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+44.9%+$35.94
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$384
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$264.29
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$220.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63.85
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Magic: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$68.31
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.49
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Will PSV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will Sporting CP vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+43.9%+$17.57
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$18.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.04
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.6%+$38.16
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.8%+$5.59
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.