TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$290,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x387c…57b3backed Yes78c63,759$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No22c37,010$7,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,037.863844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes78c27,245$21,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,196.5623633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c24,514$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,213.755,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c14,630$4,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,319.42,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No33c12,613$4,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,432.711,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c11,813$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,919.491,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No22c11,091$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,681.1562652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20c0…3815backed Yes69c7,365$5,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,064.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes54c6,487$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No22c6,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7002528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No23c5,405$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.882334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked No42c5,240$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.9719633.2%65 W · 131 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No23c4,440$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.691643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes74c3,928$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.6792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes46c3,370$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes72c3,275$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.1823845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes44c2,829$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.232040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No46c2,183$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.373842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes60c1,996$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.671566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes80c1,974$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.154040%16 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Yes53c1,904$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes62c1,578$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.8713533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes46c1,576$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes45c1,524$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes47c1,489$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes51c1,487$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.593548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed No55c1,430$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c01…428ebacked Yes61c1,264$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No22c1,226$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.363534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No48c1,200$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6282835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes59c1,192$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes74c1,188$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes49c1,166$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5763246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No24c1,152$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.14137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ab1…b7d7backed Yes76c1,067$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes77c1,044$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.011457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes49c1,030$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes58c1,028$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes71c1,012$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7205850%29 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7304055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes70c994.55$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001250%6 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed No25c976$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7321764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes70c973.64$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.672536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No31c900$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.4717753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Yes58c889.99$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.052857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes53c886.11$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes29c880$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.651513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes56c845.86$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.073735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Yes54c771.56$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked No36c750.56$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.361560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c738.2$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.5126749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes69c726.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009158.2%53 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1909…0e55backed Yes71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No23c700.12$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.4313821%29 W · 109 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No37c696.5$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.3829425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No5c600$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5703933.3%13 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes55c585.44$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.471752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes77c584.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No24c583.26$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.7679435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes77c568.5$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5862349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No22c568$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.041450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes36c551$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes69c536.86$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.43650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed No62c500$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes76c494.61$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.072250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes69c482.12$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.846546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f5…d808backed Yes75c480$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed No30c461.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Yes77c452.16$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.81020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4687…f67ebacked No55c445.58$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa311…a4ebbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…28f9backed Yes61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes79c403.96$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201668.8%11 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed No25c400.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Yes55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd6…28f7backed Yes32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Yes76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes59c392.66$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No33c373.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.917945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes69c347.13$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c325.92$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes35c318$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.310228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes57c307.32$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1748768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92b4…dbf0backed Yes76c300$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23123755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes43c296.62$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.311866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No46c287.63$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.679141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006854.4%37 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes39c259.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.95875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Yes55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No23c244.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.025450%27 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes65c243$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.