TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59b8…26b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$67.57
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$231.94
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$190.35
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$26.94
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$32.11
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$153.3
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$459.16
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$111.16
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$159.61
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$464.99
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$150
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$103.48
Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38.79
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$558
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$442.75
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$323.9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.97
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$328
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$764.49
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.06
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$59.38
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$281.46
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$269.8
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$78.27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$91.43
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$223.8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+76.8%+$391
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+798%+$259.59
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+105.4%+$1,307.75
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$130.78
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$313.59
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$171.95
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+233.3%+$1,180.2
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,891.11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$68.2
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$994.04
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,091.53
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$133
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$328.25
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$222.04
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$173.88
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+132.6%+$228
Lightning vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$175.05
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.08
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.08
Stars vs. Rangersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$77.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$329
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.5%+$90.62
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.98
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 6 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.41
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$192.86
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$165.38
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$268.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$452.32
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$134.4
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$131.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$414
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$507.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$630
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.