TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No44c7,056$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.822,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c2,352$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.621,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes65c2,286$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes55c2,163$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.725354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2a…4a00backed Yes54c1,849$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No49c1,643$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked No49c1,230$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No40c1,186$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.294656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No44c960.3$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No46c911.25$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x195b…c181backed Yes55c858.14$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+79.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes55c729.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes55c719.09$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.599046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes54c709.44$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3414142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No41c698.64$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.745632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed No47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.368957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked No5c629.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes55c487.2$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.241758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No46c466.5$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5928931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Yes55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes55c436.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3610259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes55c412.73$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7312565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No46c399.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9931441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b8…26b2backed Yes54c375$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9da…81d7backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes51c364$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Yes55c363.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.453542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes50c339.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes55c330$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.55742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes55c327.27$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2713137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes55c309.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.099953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Yes54c304.71$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.713447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes50c298.62$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3120827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No48c279$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No45c273.51$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.917847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes55c272.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.724351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ec…27aebacked Yes54c249.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No45c229.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes55c223.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No40c205$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3915045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Yes53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes55c187.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.368041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes55c182.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.932147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes69c145.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.226850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…7627backed Yes79c138.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.092070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No45c128.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.833050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Yes54c120.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.662568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes71c112.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.672860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+38.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes55c105.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.591650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed No45c104.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.194139%16 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96db…f7f9backed Yes74c102.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Yes54c101$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.462360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x504b…8405backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9913350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed No45c99.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.992065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes55c95.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.843268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Yes54c84.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Yes54c84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.822045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes54c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.343458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No45c77.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes54c74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.734362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xedbd…9a3bbacked Yes55c72.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No47c71.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.245255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Yes54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes53c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.431450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes54c64.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.844866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes55c63.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.665354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.142133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes54c61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.062462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Yes55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Yes54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61978.9%15 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Yes52c58.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Yes55c56.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c56.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5611748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No43c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.474131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Yes55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.79653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed No46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Yes53c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.622842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.453060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.