Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611c583cdb8a03d5653d3bf5107d0717dfc3e787a0ae7f79ef5bdcc81f7bda31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,035$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 29c | 864.37$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 844.36$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.22 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 73c | 701.96$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 638.89$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 28c | 606.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 541.67$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 73c | 527.11$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 72c | 416.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 408.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 388.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 384.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 13c | 289.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 73c | 200.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 72c | 140.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 72c | 134$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 72c | 107.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 74c | 95.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…27fbbacked Over | 73c | 90.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Under | 28c | 88.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…b19cbacked Over | 73c | 82.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked Over | 73c | 80.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 71c | 79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 28c | 75.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d37…0748backed Over | 73c | 66.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Under | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 29c | 46.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 27c | 44.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 73c | 41.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…2e29backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Under | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…47a5backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 73c | 20.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…35b8backed Over | 73c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Over | 72c | 13.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.