TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c5,263$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.742,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.281553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over25c1,688$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.525632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over24c1,500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under4c1,300$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,300$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.021,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c1,295$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.33119.4%6 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under76c931$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.5614142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over51c846.66$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.6614748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over25c720$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under76c700$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over37c541.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.952729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under34c540$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006829.4%20 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick34cpaid0%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28516842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3456863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under58c492$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.365556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c489.86$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8610361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over58c436.23$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed Over64c390.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c360.93$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over29c328.9$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.527254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over26c298.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.89826.5%26 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c296.58$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over24c295.82$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3228931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Under33c288.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.171020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over41c280.18$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9111856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c268.02$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Under75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Over30c247.11$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.13650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over24c233.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over26c230.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7710330.1%31 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over25c211$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Under76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15219652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under75c178$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.52462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under75c163$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.252055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over62c162.61$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.793860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under45c162.39$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5915045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0897…a901backed Under64c156.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-72.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over24c134.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.137847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d8…30d9backed Under77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over39c129.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.858744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over33c122.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.452123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c121.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.815648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Under34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Under58c113$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.778042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over70c103.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.11988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+54.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under75c103$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.252642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.45251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Under76c98.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.751978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c96.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over49c94.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.911460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over58c94.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.675752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under33c91.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under76c91.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.375347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under75c90.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Under76c89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.641844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under75c88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over45c87.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under75c84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over59c80$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.14070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under75c78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under75c77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.753458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under75c77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.751275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071850%9 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under76c66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.163151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under75c62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.52564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1671…1661backed Under35c61.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.293956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over49c58.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8736852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Over25c56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over37c55.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.944738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over37c53.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.915131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Under76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over24c52.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over25c52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over56c48.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5814351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over25c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Under76c46.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over25c45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.75977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+81.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Under42c44.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Over25c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.