TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc48…2427

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercer Bears vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$61.43
NJIT Highlanders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+124.1%+$22.59
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+180.3%+$36.07
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+383.6%+$73.69
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.79
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$36.6
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$101.78
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+300%+$81.51
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+400%+$100
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$113.89
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$148.41
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.57
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+229.5%+$267.07
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+184.7%+$110.83
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+355.5%+$71.09
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.88
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.65
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+86.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$50.76
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.03
Valencia CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.