TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof Boise State Broncos, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f7c…7e93backed Boise State Broncos0c17,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels56c10,626$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7232,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…d406backed Boise State Broncos0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Boise State Broncos52c8,841$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,564.874544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos51c8,121$4,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,172.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels73c3,929$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.656162.3%38 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Boise State Broncos18c3,719$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Boise State Broncos39c2,534$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels49c2,348$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.992277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c1,936$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.331,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels46c1,507$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.0212435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Boise State Broncos48c1,507$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.7510126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Boise State Broncos47c1,436$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.1719050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Boise State Broncos10c1,341$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.313313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Boise State Broncos58c1,341$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.642,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Boise State Broncos51c1,252$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.519849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Boise State Broncos21c1,106$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.842,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos59c1,097$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.753,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels56c1,080$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.991,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels38c1,039$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.485,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Boise State Broncos78c1,025$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.071154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Boise State Broncos35c1,008$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1846446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels49c903.44$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.012,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Boise State Broncos31c900$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Boise State Broncos43c882.36$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.991729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Boise State Broncos56c861.28$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels31c859.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.925520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boise State Broncos55c817.39$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.392,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels59c816.73$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.71,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels53c800.92$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.914,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Boise State Broncos23c751.09$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.861,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels44c748.08$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels53c723.7$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.081,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Boise State Broncos68c630.71$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…08f5backed Boise State Broncos4c600$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Boise State Broncos5c600$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317017.1%12 W · 58 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Boise State Broncos4c600$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Boise State Broncos6c508$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.023993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Boise State Broncos9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels53c485.44$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.951,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Boise State Broncos42c481.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Boise State Broncos52c464.05$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.086852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Boise State Broncos55c457.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels79c456.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.312458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c436.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.784,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd3…4285backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels49c423.19$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Boise State Broncos11c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Boise State Broncos11c356.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.262814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e1…91debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Boise State Broncos34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.543450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea0…8f49backed Boise State Broncos56c289$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels58c275.03$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4448051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Boise State Broncos6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed Boise State Broncos5c228.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Boise State Broncos57c215.15$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.672,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels47c212.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9412642.1%53 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c03…811ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels67c209.88$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.882740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Boise State Broncos50c200.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Boise State Broncos56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Boise State Broncos62c199.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.978253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Boise State Broncos55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.526740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels49c175.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Boise State Broncos57c169.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.519057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels30c168.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c166.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.31,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels64c156.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Boise State Broncos64c155.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.825831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x596d…dde6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels69c148.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels45c142.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.225545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Boise State Broncos53c137.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels38c131.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.77425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c2…cdb2backed Boise State Broncos48c126.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Boise State Broncos18c123$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.143,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Boise State Broncos47c121.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9413956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c119.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.162035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels58c115$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.211931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels66c113.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce5…8fa2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels38c113.74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd737…d351backed Boise State Broncos74c109.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.718851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.717950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…2d19backed Boise State Broncos38c103.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc8…515ebacked Boise State Broncos57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Boise State Broncos55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5527048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels51c99.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8632343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels42c95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.432,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels45c91.86$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.84,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels53c89.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3863…ae6abacked Boise State Broncos59c85.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Boise State Broncos59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974b…344cbacked Boise State Broncos31c82.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Boise State Broncos49c82.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.926931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Boise State Broncos59c77.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Boise State Broncos36c76.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73446.8%3 W · 41 L-13.8wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-88.7%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels34c73.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels59c73.53$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.286352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e00…9c78backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels60c71.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels56c70.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2345644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Boise State Broncos45c70.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.