TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf43d…1e75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST6931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UAB Blazers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigersbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+376.7%+$58.74
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Butler Bulldogs vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$39.92
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.62
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Florida State Seminoles vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76.2
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+62.7%+$31.73
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+204.5%+$58.98
Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99.56
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.7
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$97.91
Connecticut Huskies vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44.25
Oregon Ducks vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48.21
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.7%+$141.94
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.75
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.85
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.8%+$34.83
Miami Hurricanes vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98.03
George Mason Patriots vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$99.93
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST4325.6%11 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.87
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+239.9%+$28.94
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.96
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$97.22
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.22
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50.19
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.59
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$96.4
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$24.87
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.71
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+315.1%+$115.61
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.95
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.24
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.01
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$351.48
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+211.3%+$144.59
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.4
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.61
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Grimsby Town FC vs. Weston-super-Mare AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$197.75
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$51.91
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.81
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$142.76
Will Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$113.74
Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$67.79
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Shrewsbury Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.01
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$794.19
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+376.2%+$186.23
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$21
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.31
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.51
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$59.8
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+237.8%+$104.27
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+95.6%+$48.6
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+74.4%+$38.45
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25.11
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+102.5%+$49.6
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$100.63
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$28.04
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+134.1%+$62.54
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.23
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Adelaide International: Ethan Quinn vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$32.31
Adelaide International: Maya Joint vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.11
Adelaide International: Jelena Ostapenko vs Tereza Valentovabacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Hobart International: Elsa Jacquemot vs Magdalena Frechbacked Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.5%+$12.68
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.89
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Hobart International: Olga Danilovic vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.81
Hobart International, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Michael Mmohbacked Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.6
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+119.6%+$12.61
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-72.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37.94
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.24
Will SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.97
Will Girona FC vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Burgos CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.68
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.63
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.66
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$112.85
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.44
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+94%+$56.38
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$38.34
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$101.88
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.45
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.51
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-85%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.75
Will Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$206.04
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.49
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Atalanta BC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.81
Will Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.66
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+80.1%+$79.35
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.91
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+377.3%+$188.21
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Juárez vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49.1
Will Club León FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$46.09
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.78
Will CF América win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.73
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+84.7%+$40.22
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.51
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.96
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+455.6%+$54.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+174%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+448%+$780.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+93.7%+$77.76
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.