TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
USC Trojansof Maryland Terrapins, USC Trojans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7685…d406backed Maryland Terrapins0c43,950$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.951020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…7e93backed Maryland Terrapins0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Maryland Terrapins13c33,457$4,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,506.8169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Maryland Terrapins18c28,917$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,205.1219950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Maryland Terrapins8c5,289$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.012,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maryland Terrapins18c4,076$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.171,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Maryland Terrapins19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked USC Trojans77c2,959$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.839771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Maryland Terrapins30c2,210$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.32552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Maryland Terrapins25c2,203$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Maryland Terrapins21c1,764$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.621,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maryland Terrapins13c1,277$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.531,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Maryland Terrapins20c1,225$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.071,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Maryland Terrapins18c1,200$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.326740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed USC Trojans61c1,086$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.7723941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked USC Trojans61c1,042$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.381,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed USC Trojans78c1,030$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.813,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed USC Trojans61c1,003$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.042,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Maryland Terrapins24c993.35$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.396643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Maryland Terrapins17c954.49$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.171,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Maryland Terrapins21c902.67$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.755,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Maryland Terrapins20c764.82$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked USC Trojans76c695.86$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4445351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Maryland Terrapins19c685$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.383,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked USC Trojans76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8911346.9%53 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Maryland Terrapins18c435.97$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Maryland Terrapins24c401.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Maryland Terrapins19c383.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Maryland Terrapins23c365.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Maryland Terrapins23c347.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Maryland Terrapins25c340.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maryland Terrapins18c306.06$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.032,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Maryland Terrapins19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Maryland Terrapins43c283$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Maryland Terrapins22c281.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Maryland Terrapins18c263$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63b…9c25backed Maryland Terrapins17c242.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Maryland Terrapins16c234.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.56931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Maryland Terrapins18c214$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.522,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Maryland Terrapins24c208.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Maryland Terrapins25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Maryland Terrapins22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ceb…3656backed Maryland Terrapins10c199.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed USC Trojans73c189.02$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4473549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Maryland Terrapins18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Maryland Terrapins21c160$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.820254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Maryland Terrapins22c154.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7218241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc425…4af9backed Maryland Terrapins14c152.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maryland Terrapins15c151$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Maryland Terrapins21c148.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.652356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked USC Trojans69c142.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.599849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Maryland Terrapins15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Maryland Terrapins20c128.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.833,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed USC Trojans78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.218956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed USC Trojans72c118.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.068362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Maryland Terrapins21c113.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8166831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb2…b59ebacked Maryland Terrapins34c107.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked USC Trojans78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Maryland Terrapins23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maryland Terrapins19c97.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Maryland Terrapins20c95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa03…1242backed Maryland Terrapins25c93.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x034e…8048backed Maryland Terrapins18c91.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x746a…8a4bbacked Maryland Terrapins21c88.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Maryland Terrapins17c85.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5873…9533backed Maryland Terrapins25c81.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Maryland Terrapins19c81.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.473161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Maryland Terrapins17c80.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.725657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Maryland Terrapins25c80.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed USC Trojans78c80.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.711,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3564backed Maryland Terrapins44c79.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a8…cee1backed Maryland Terrapins20c77.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdde…069fbacked Maryland Terrapins33c73.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Maryland Terrapins35c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.283345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Maryland Terrapins22c65.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdd…55babacked Maryland Terrapins29c64.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x663f…b4b8backed Maryland Terrapins21c59.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maryland Terrapins18c58.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.492,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed USC Trojans80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e21…7defbacked Maryland Terrapins20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf056…1f79backed Maryland Terrapins33c45.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce5…8fa2backed USC Trojans78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed USC Trojans78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.054987.8%43 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a02…104bbacked USC Trojans70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb9…84babacked USC Trojans79c25.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.281872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed USC Trojans62c24.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed USC Trojans79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7818844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked USC Trojans79c14.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked USC Trojans75c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5411743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked USC Trojans80c13.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7206…4861backed USC Trojans80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.