TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0bb9…84ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+30.8%+$10.6
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+124.9%+$27.77
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+102.8%+$11.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.1
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.25
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.2%+$30.68
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.05
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.1%+$12.1
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$440.8
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+71.5%+$62.51
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.8%+$6.95
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+68.2%+$86.86
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+193.8%+$175.53
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.2%+$5.28
Florida State Seminoles vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+46.3%+$14.25
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-2.5)backed Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+94.4%+$17
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.1%+$26.27
Dayton Flyers vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.9
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+34.2%+$11.48
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+90.6%+$11.88
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+57.1%+$9.68
New Orleans Privateers vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+92.2%+$11.51
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Coppin State Eaglesbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.55
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+32.7%+$11.82
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.05
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36.05
Red Wings vs. Bruinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
Stars vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+27.7%+$5.42
Oilers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.95
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.9%+$23.22
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.9%+$441.75
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$95.1
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+124.7%+$16.65
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+146.4%+$32.09
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Barnsley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.36
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.4
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.41
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+55.2%+$18.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+82.4%+$42.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.