TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Houston Christian Huskies vs. Lamar Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lamar Cardinalsof Houston Christian Huskies, Lamar Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed2c…9597backed Houston Christian Huskies24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Houston Christian Huskies24c1,890$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.61,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lamar Cardinals66c1,694$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Houston Christian Huskies28c1,524$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.661,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lamar Cardinals76c1,510$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3622,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lamar Cardinals76c1,438$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.354,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Houston Christian Huskies2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Lamar Cardinals76c1,022$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3711747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Houston Christian Huskies10c673.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.262,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lamar Cardinals76c610.06$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.993,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Lamar Cardinals76c511$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6489850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Lamar Cardinals75c476.17$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4973549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Christian Huskies44c453.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.225,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Houston Christian Huskies7c404.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Houston Christian Huskies40c374.24$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5314925.5%38 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Lamar Cardinals72c269.45$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.096642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Lamar Cardinals75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Houston Christian Huskies24c158$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Houston Christian Huskies8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.961,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lamar Cardinals64c137.45$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Houston Christian Huskies24c130.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.613735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Houston Christian Huskies39c111.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.581,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Houston Christian Huskies27c110.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8457335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Lamar Cardinals56c105.11$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.261,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Lamar Cardinals76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241593.3%14 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick78cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Houston Christian Huskies20c90.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.766931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lamar Cardinals74c87.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.762,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lamar Cardinals46c85.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lamar Cardinals64c82.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Houston Christian Huskies35c81.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7118241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Lamar Cardinals67c79.87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0348051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0187…161cbacked Lamar Cardinals71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42966.7%6 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Lamar Cardinals59c70.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.642,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd9…8323backed Lamar Cardinals73c68.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.47666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Lamar Cardinals71c65$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Lamar Cardinals75c63.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Lamar Cardinals50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Lamar Cardinals76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634987.8%43 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick77cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d2…b8eebacked Lamar Cardinals70c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2a…f4f7backed Lamar Cardinals76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Houston Christian Huskies44c45.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Lamar Cardinals68c44.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3723544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab3…1576backed Houston Christian Huskies26c42.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36b…86d9backed Lamar Cardinals75c40.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.111353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e13…8bfebacked Houston Christian Huskies25c40.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f04…ecb3backed Lamar Cardinals76c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.327100%7 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Houston Christian Huskies52c35.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2310049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…f88fbacked Lamar Cardinals71c30.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Houston Christian Huskies52c28.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.64517.8%8 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9881…3d2bbacked Lamar Cardinals70c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b8…0eb0backed Lamar Cardinals75c25.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4883…98abbacked Lamar Cardinals76c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08540%2 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick78cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Houston Christian Huskies52c22.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bb9…84babacked Houston Christian Huskies50c22.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Lamar Cardinals66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8510252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb640…6439backed Lamar Cardinals72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Lamar Cardinals76c14.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5617661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.