TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0187…161c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2576%19 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick76cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.56
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.28
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linettebacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$12.66
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Ruzic vs. Danilovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Australian Open Men's: Brandon Holt vs Giulio Zeppieribacked Zeppieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Australian Open Women's: Guiomar Maristany vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.06
Australian Open Men's: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.57
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Colton Smithbacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+27.2%+$11.11
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.98
Australian Open Men's: Yibing Wu vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pieri vs Harmony Tanbacked Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51.22
ASB Classic: Adrian Mannarino vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.93
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Brisbane International: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.4%+$11.48
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Brisbane International: Leylah Fernandez vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.05
Brisbane International: James Duckworth vs Alex Michelsenbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Olivia Gadecki vs Ann Libacked Gadecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Brisbane International, Qualification: Kamil Majchrzak vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Mercer Bears vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.61
Dayton Flyers vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-2.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$9.41
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Delaware State Hornets vs. Howard Bisonbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$12.05
Seattle Redhawks vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$3.85
Oregon State Beavers vs. Washington State Cougarsbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.66
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26%+$10.32
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.75
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.37
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 6 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick79cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+30.8%+$15.68
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.75
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$13.75
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs megoshort (BO1)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.9%+$11.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25.2%+$12.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed US Cremonese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.