Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0659c5413a4e5227ff2f7e0219e047a7dd0f6fc6eacc80aac93180b1006eb81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michelsen | 10c | 15,488$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Michelsen | 23c | 10,000$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.24 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michelsen | 19c | 9,076$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Michelsen | 23c | 5,656$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Medvedev | 77c | 5,215$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Michelsen | 8c | 4,064$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.23 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Michelsen | 5c | 3,312$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Medvedev | 77c | 2,797$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Michelsen | 24c | 2,451$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.21 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michelsen | 10c | 2,438$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Medvedev | 76c | 2,330$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.08 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Michelsen | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen | 17c | 1,633$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Medvedev | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.1 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Michelsen | 15c | 1,427$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Michelsen | 1c | 1,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Michelsen | 36c | 1,101$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.46 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Michelsen | 20c | 1,061$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Michelsen | 21c | 1,026$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Medvedev | 66c | 1,018$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Michelsen | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michelsen | 22c | 962.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Michelsen | 8c | 940.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michelsen | 6c | 854.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Michelsen | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Medvedev | 75c | 811.08$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…1316backed Medvedev | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Medvedev | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Michelsen | 9c | 579.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Medvedev | 78c | 515.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…f5b5backed Medvedev | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Michelsen | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…70e3backed Medvedev | 78c | 445.42$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Medvedev | 78c | 400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 103 | 95.1%98 W · 5 L | +25.4wins | +0.25per pick | 70cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Michelsen | 17c | 384.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Medvedev | 79c | 366.95$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…c10abacked Michelsen | 45c | 334.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medvedev | 73c | 327.62$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Michelsen | 43c | 325.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Medvedev | 76c | 323.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Medvedev | 77c | 311$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen | 22c | 307.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Michelsen | 5c | 305.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Medvedev | 78c | 301.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Michelsen | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Michelsen | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked Michelsen | 16c | 299.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Michelsen | 6c | 249.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 27cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Medvedev | 77c | 237.65$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Michelsen | 15c | 230.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Medvedev | 66c | 221.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Michelsen | 5c | 205.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Medvedev | 54c | 202.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed Michelsen | 11c | 200.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Michelsen | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…f3f0backed Michelsen | 18c | 174$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…5f7cbacked Michelsen | 9c | 171.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Michelsen | 31c | 166.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa025…f141backed Medvedev | 77c | 145.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…16b7backed Medvedev | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Michelsen | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Michelsen | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Medvedev | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Michelsen | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Medvedev | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Medvedev | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…d53ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…046bbacked Medvedev | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2e91backed Medvedev | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Michelsen | 24c | 126.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…9f42backed Medvedev | 77c | 113.32$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Michelsen | 22c | 112.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…b668backed Medvedev | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Michelsen | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Michelsen | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Medvedev | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 76cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Medvedev | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…3f46backed Medvedev | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 50 | 74%37 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Michelsen | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Medvedev | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Medvedev | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Medvedev | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Michelsen | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53f…af92backed Medvedev | 77c | 88.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…0a3fbacked Medvedev | 77c | 87.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Michelsen | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Medvedev | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Michelsen | 18c | 81.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…9519backed Medvedev | 77c | 77.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…4602backed Medvedev | 77c | 65.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Medvedev | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Medvedev | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…196bbacked Medvedev | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…382ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Medvedev | 78c | 64.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…9c06backed Medvedev | 80c | 64.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Michelsen | 23c | 62.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed Michelsen | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Medvedev | 77c | 61.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…576ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Medvedev vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Medvedev vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs MichelsenMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.