TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ff2…b81f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Qatar Total Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Waltonbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williamsbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Suzan Lamens vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$152.89
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriebacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Australian Open Men's: Yannick Hanfmann vs Zachary Svajdabacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+53.4%+$10.68
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$76.19
Adelaide International: Paula Badosa vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Adelaide International: Reilly Opelka vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hobart International: Katie Volynets vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+309.8%+$93.78
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+75.6%+$106.21
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+145.2%+$44.3
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.94
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovicbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Hobart International, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Adelaide International, Qualification: Laura Siegemund vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hobart International, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.33
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandre Muller vs Marcos Gironbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanovbacked Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.91
ASB Classic: Ella Seidel vs Sonay Kartalbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$332.5
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.24
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+256.1%+$51.21
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25%+$50
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$162.48
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$66.66
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$109.68
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$174.19
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will LAR/CHI/JAX/PHI/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$141.57
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+259%+$255
Packers vs. Bears: 1H Moneylinebacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$147
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+27.9%+$91.46
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.09
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.39
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+62%+$15.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.