TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will LAR/CHI/JAX/PHI/NE/PIT win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,041 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes10c1,377$136 inLost-$136.2221227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes10c1,275$130 inLost-$1306230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330d…6174backed Yes5c636.36$35 inLost-$35140%0 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes2c590$12 inLost-$11.66934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes10c508.33$51 inLost-$50.675129.4%15 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes6c489.09$29 inLost-$29.4110346.6%48 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes13c437.15$57 inLost-$56.831513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$20.248047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff2…b81fbacked Yes12c180.77$22 inLost-$221118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28a…fc48backed Yes11c99.99$11 inLost-$112832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.