NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf05b12027fc9a7874ad432b11d16f8176f5f7f0e202186e545c6c672c439a0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,133,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,261,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,133,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Bucks | 42c | 180,000$75,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,399.89 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 59c | 141,883$83,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,634.03 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 59c | 123,130$72,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,712.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers | 58c | 121,565$70,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,939.24 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Bucks | 42c | 117,000$49,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,859.99 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Lakers | 61c | 82,823$50,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,559.54 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 56c | 76,404$43,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,277.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers | 3c | 49,253$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.49 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…61d2backed Lakers | 62c | 48,093$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 40c | 43,482$17,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,185.88 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bucks | 66c | 36,683$24,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,523.16 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Bucks | 42c | 35,500$14,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,589.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 43c | 35,040$15,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,105.68 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 40c | 34,901$14,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,791.25 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Bucks | 54c | 33,210$17,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,436.93 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…fdffbacked Bucks | 48c | 31,272$15,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,187.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Lakers | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lakers | 36c | 21,148$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,513.25 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 41c | 20,593$8,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,149.95 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.92 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 58c | 19,445$11,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,278.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lakers | 50c | 17,767$8,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,883.53 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Bucks | 56c | 17,389$9,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,596.45 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 44c | 16,904$7,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,474.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 43c | 16,132$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,253.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks | 43c | 15,674$6,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,002.01 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 42c | 15,207$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,461.72 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Lakers | 45c | 14,764$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.28 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks | 40c | 14,562$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,737.41 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 52c | 14,458$7,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Lakers | 45c | 14,109$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.7 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Bucks | 65c | 14,076$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 50c | 13,500$6,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,764.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Lakers | 65c | 12,578$8,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,145.14 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Lakers | 53c | 12,036$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 50c | 11,037$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Lakers | 60c | 10,951$6,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,563.34 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Lakers | 46c | 10,780$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.69 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Bucks | 28c | 10,275$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.67 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 40c | 10,110$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lakers | 39c | 10,022$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.79 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Lakers | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Lakers | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.96 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Lakers | 59c | 9,884$5,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830.77 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 40c | 9,564$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,738.58 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Bucks | 40c | 8,638$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Lakers | 58c | 8,554$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26a…8f24backed Lakers | 36c | 8,391$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 37c | 8,299$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,222.81 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Lakers | 35c | 8,293$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.43 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 41c | 8,071$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Lakers | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Bucks | 37c | 7,819$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.16 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers | 1c | 7,512$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Lakers | 67c | 7,453$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.55 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Lakers | 59c | 7,338$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.52 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Bucks | 40c | 7,112$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.55 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 52c | 7,070$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.23 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Bucks | 56c | 7,026$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.36 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lakers | 1c | 6,538$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 57c | 6,275$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.66 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Lakers | 46c | 6,224$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.48 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 41c | 6,105$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.55 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Lakers | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 40c | 5,866$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.21 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Lakers | 58c | 5,657$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.05 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Bucks | 61c | 5,518$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.43 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bucks | 45c | 5,430$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.3 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…c1d6backed Lakers | 60c | 5,400$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Lakers | 76c | 5,264$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 36c | 5,149$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.82 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks | 40c | 5,129$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.39 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bucks | 39c | 5,056$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.41 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Bucks | 60c | 5,026$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.9 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers | 59c | 5,004$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.07 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Lakers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bucks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Lakers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Bucks | 40c | 4,998$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.9 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 45c | 4,931$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.61 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lakers | 22c | 4,848$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Lakers | 48c | 4,823$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.03 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Bucks | 50c | 4,750$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.81 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…65aebacked Bucks | 61c | 4,710$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Lakers | 39c | 4,416$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Bucks | 42c | 4,318$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.89 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 35c | 4,141$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.43 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bucks | 41c | 4,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Lakers | 43c | 3,971$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.74 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 49c | 3,878$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.33 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 58c | 3,765$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Bucks | 67c | 3,702$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.22 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Bucks | 69c | 3,628$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.21 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f25…a115backed Bucks | 40c | 3,600$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Lakers | 37c | 3,593$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.07 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Lakers | 62c | 3,558$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.75 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Lakers | 32c | 3,500$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bucks | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Lakersthis page
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.