TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0026…1ed5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST6851.5%35 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50,559.54
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$458.49
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,560
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,080
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4,300
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$674.34
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.5%+$754.56
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,925
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$562.5
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+94.9%+$188.77
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.3
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,126.9
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+157.1%+$244.42
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+39.7%+$39.74
Will TreVeyon Henderson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$248
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$560
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+46.4%+$538.99
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.9%+$1,546.15
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,802Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+45.6%+$1,277.64
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+488.2%+$498
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.1%+$746.56
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$2,042.25
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+83.1%+$83.12
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,750
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will the New England Patriots win the AFC East?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$36.99
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.1%+$32.09
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+141.7%+$138.32
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$450
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$570
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+204.4%+$613.08
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,074Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.1%+$1,914.46
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$5,582.07
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,644.8
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$250
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$51.43
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$78.33
All 19 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$391.11
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+41.8%+$41.82
Will iHeartMedia (IHRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+25.6%+$25.59
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$88.51
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+103.5%+$310.49
Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+59.2%+$118.31
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Peloton Interactive (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+30.8%+$30.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+99.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3)backed ex-GANK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+68.4%+$13.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+117.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+335.5%+$2,384.21
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$202.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108%+$2,700.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+64.1%+$64.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+43.3%+$8.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3)backed Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.5%+$265.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rainbow FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$909.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.