Earnings · resolved market
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5710d5832bd1bf3b33dbffad8e614cfa8f6831fe1bb183b9c17b8694912027d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 77c | 779.66$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 19c | 727.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 67c | 517.92$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.57 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 31c | 419.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 22c | 347.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed No | 38c | 260.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked No | 24c | 209.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 71c | 164.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 77c | 113.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…083fbacked Yes | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…2e68backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…4fb7backed No | 42c | 59.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…4923backed No | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…b4ffbacked Yes | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…a146backed Yes | 77c | 28.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1be…6652backed Yes | 77c | 27.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…fa58backed Yes | 77c | 24.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5343…0b0fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 71.8%84 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…8169backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f48…f0b5backed Yes | 77c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…180abacked Yes | 77c | 19.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.