TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7975…d3f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Bill Clinton say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+117.1%+$15.47
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$26
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.9%+$240.26
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+79%+$188.15
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$106.18
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Trump say "ICE" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.7
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Will Trump say "FDA" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$16.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+210.5%+$373.94
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+89.4%+$99.09
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$66
Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+82.8%+$63.4
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.78
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump say "F-35" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.87
Will Israel strike 2 countries in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+233.3%+$49
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Trump say "UFC" or "America 250" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Will Trump say "Communist" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.5
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$77.99
Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21.3
Will Trump say "Peace through Strength" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" 20+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+25%+$3
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.25
Will Netanyahu say "Goon" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
Earningslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Klarna say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28%+$9.6
Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Spotify say "Customer" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
Will Palantir say "Anthropic" or "Claude" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Apple say "Sport" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$43.4
Will Amazon say "Rufus" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.66
Will Eli Lilly say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will PayPal say "Blockchain" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.2%+$10
Will GE Vernova say "Administration" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will GE Vernova say "Blade" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Dell say "Confidence" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Will USA Rare Earth (USAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.2
Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Will OneStream (OS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Carlyle Secured Lending (CGBD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+177.8%+$25.6
Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will King Charles say "Healthcare" during State Opening?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.96
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.54
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.07
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.56
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$69.44
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+121.4%+$98.14
Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+161.9%+$104
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$90.88
Will Keir Starmer say "Healthcare" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+58.4%+$29.5
Will Keir Starmer say "Christmas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$21
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Trudeau" during Carney visit on May 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Trump say "Ship" during Carney visit on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$276.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+80.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$12.2
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+502.6%+$115.18
Will Renato Veiga be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+427.6%+$435.42
Will Pedro Neto be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Danilo Santos be in Brazil's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$13.05
Will Alex Sandro be in Brazil's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+66.7%+$24
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.49
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$22.9
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA dip to $172 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NYC rally?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will egg prices drop this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.