Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff1969c7d99dac91ce9b000868102080fa5d0de7f98d8b040e0a6120a8d80af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,586,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,832,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,586,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 20c | 207,310$42,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,426.19 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Yes | 79c | 169,999$135,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,899.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 99,999$57,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,799.38 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 79c | 90,477$71,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,369.22 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 80c | 90,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 21c | 80,010$16,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,802.03 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 78,567$62,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,460.73 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 20c | 64,036$12,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,807.21 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 21c | 55,426$11,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,476.34 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 52,867$11,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,943.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 21c | 47,530$9,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,785.75 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 22c | 40,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.97 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 20c | 39,006$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,996.27 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…d067backed Yes | 79c | 33,134$26,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,958.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 22c | 30,071$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.07 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 21c | 29,334$6,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.74 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 79c | 25,433$20,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.97 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 20c | 24,030$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 21c | 22,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…a697backed Yes | 79c | 12,653$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 66c | 10,152$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 78c | 9,381$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.75 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 22c | 9,005$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 11c | 8,282$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.27 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 6,619$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.25 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…4556backed Yes | 79c | 6,328$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 5,911$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.54 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 12c | 5,875$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.03 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 5,419$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.59 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 79c | 5,389$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.12 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 48c | 5,239$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 54c | 5,198$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.68 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,745 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 20c | 4,293$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.02 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked No | 22c | 4,091$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 10c | 3,852$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed No | 5c | 3,535$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 26c | 3,432$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.02 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 21c | 3,220$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 21c | 3,061$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.2 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 49c | 3,040$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 3,031$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed No | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…f9fbbacked No | 4c | 2,999$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 20c | 2,847$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.87 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,833$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.05 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 10c | 2,700$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab0e…4b76backed Yes | 48c | 2,446$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 19c | 2,400$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.99 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…2496backed Yes | 75c | 2,368$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 79c | 2,296$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 20c | 2,243$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 21c | 2,045$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.63 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 11c | 1,901$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 1,890$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.93 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 1,822$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.14 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 20c | 1,708$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 38c | 1,508$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.51 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…a1e7backed No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 79c | 1,456$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 20c | 1,450$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 78c | 1,415$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,315$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 22c | 1,308$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.77 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 55c | 1,300$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 1,271$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…ebc9backed Yes | 79c | 1,269$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…a8c7backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…8b5bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 58c | 1,262$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.3 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…aca8backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a11…4b2abacked Yes | 80c | 1,247$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.29 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…c8c1backed Yes | 80c | 1,146$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…3dcabacked Yes | 80c | 1,118$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 79c | 1,105$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…52eebacked Yes | 79c | 1,038$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 78c | 1,005$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.2 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-29?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.