Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b58ede2ca4dcf24a3faf63b86529dde0121ba5e1194829b305544bb84a60f33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 7c | 281,492$19,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,704.42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5662…ebacbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 8c | 6,988$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.34 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,969$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 6,212$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.86 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 5,100$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,135$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.08 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,813$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 7c | 3,539$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 7c | 3,278$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 5c | 2,298$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,240$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 3c | 1,220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,218$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b4…ecf5backed Yes | 9c | 1,122$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,025$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 954.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 2c | 850$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 6c | 843.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf816…7223backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 8c | 585.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 9c | 538.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 5c | 509.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…bf99backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 3c | 487.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Yes | 7c | 314.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…750bbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 5c | 307.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Yes | 8c | 290$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Yes | 9c | 284.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 235$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 8c | 221.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…f191backed Yes | 8c | 193.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d58…d189backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 149.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…bce5backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…5966backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…ffb0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…c461backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.