TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b6b…12e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+733.3%+$366.67
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.3%+$31.34
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32.03
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+45.6%+$228.18
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$126.87
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$470
Will Manchester United vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Fulham vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$184.41
Will Ipswich vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$194.08
Will West Ham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Everton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool vs. Everton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will Newcastle vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Will Southampton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$176.92
Will Arsenal vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will Wolves vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Will Leicester vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Will Fulham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$157.52
Will Arsenal vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
Will Bournemouth vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST2611.5%3 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+78%+$132.6
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.3
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+219.4%+$138.2
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$483
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+48.9%+$97.83
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet less than 200 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iona Gaels vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
William Peace Pacers vs. UNCG Spartansbacked William Peace Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Brevard College Tornados vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsbacked Brevard College Tornados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Missouri State Bears vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksbacked Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Samford Bulldogs vs. VCU Ramsbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UIC Flamesbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+1,150%+$115
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+258.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+167.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$750
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+39.6%+$395.87
Jets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+35.6%+$356.17
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$38.36
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$125.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+83.8%+$83.82
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+55.3%+$221.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+525%+$52.5
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Recife win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+72.4%+$41.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $1-2b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$99.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.