La Liga · resolved market
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520323eb1774545f40660032ef6a57ec20850879765bb11314a453bc99f37fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 40,220$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.02 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 6c | 22,480$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 6c | 15,617$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.48 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 13,230$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.87 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 7c | 9,397$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 5,050$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 5,026$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 2,618$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63c…afbcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…6667backed Yes | 7c | 2,097$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 6c | 1,465$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f1…1fa1backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…8a97backed Yes | 2c | 1,415$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 6c | 1,111$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed Yes | 7c | 830$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 751$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 8c | 739.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 6c | 609.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 7c | 600.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…e987backed Yes | 7c | 527.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 500.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…3036backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 7c | 385.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 7c | 300.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…afdfbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 7c | 285.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…ae40backed Yes | 6c | 249.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 6c | 242.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…6e30backed Yes | 5c | 242.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d6bcbacked Yes | 6c | 183$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…9e59backed Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 149.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x02d9…9f29backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.