TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeab3…c6bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.89
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
England vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.48
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$64.6
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
United States vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.42
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.3
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.93
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.61
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+430.9%+$51.7
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$21.57
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.57
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.87
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$440.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$361.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$196.03
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$505.94
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85.48
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+57.7%+$34.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$33.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$37.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.97
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26.98
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+175.3%+$137.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$91.19
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$78.34
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+233.3%+$163.33
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$18.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+203.6%+$256
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+121.9%+$52.26
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$51.26
Will UD Almería win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.39
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60.6
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.8%+$146.65
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$68.82
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$79.62
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$35.6
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+203%+$101.52
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$85.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$200.14
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.01
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+455.6%+$64.19
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$159.03
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$147.09
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+27.9%+$13.96
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+566.7%+$283.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$50.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+144.3%+$137.06
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$109.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+284.6%+$81.74
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$62.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+346.7%+$138.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.9%+$223.67
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$61.39
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+268.6%+$110.14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+461.8%+$54.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+30.8%+$6.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.