TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No35c35,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,749.8917248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes66c21,861$14,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,406.8230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes65c20,001$13,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,000.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…dac8backed Yes2c12,482$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c11,656$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,634.133,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes69c7,240$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c6,514$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.814,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c5,554$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.91,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No34c4,852$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.9112648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes67c4,485$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00020857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes67c3,333$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.048243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No40c2,568$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.9874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes65c2,046$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.964461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes63c1,589$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9938729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No35c1,313$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.8364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes56c1,264$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No31c1,100$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.9935054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No37c957.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.256555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes55c914.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3913045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes66c895.45$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5912748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49623762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes66c733.45$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.095834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes45c685.35$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No33c601$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.6723250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No32c600$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4084334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes45c558.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+77.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No38c551.02$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9512821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No31c549.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4915250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes69c549.26$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3773565.7%23 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No42c546.72$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No62c529.55$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0229038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes57c525.09$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes67c447.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes68c427.07$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.232536%9 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No31c385$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6531751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes51c346.08$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.57534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes46c342.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.95644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes59c336.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No35c307.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f89…5fb5backed Yes65c305.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes67c300.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed No34c297.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.072955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No32c278.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.529545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes65c268.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.12853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes50c252$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12613824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c249.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No56c246.71$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3921842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes65c233.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.699966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…9dbbbacked Yes65c233.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.86650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507361.6%45 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…1f68backed Yes66c228.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No32c226.12$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.769353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No33c220$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.443255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No31c220$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.821849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f1…139ebacked Yes70c215.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No34c210$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.719750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…56cbbacked Yes24c206.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No33c199.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.869536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No31c192$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4829053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes53c186.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes61c186.55$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.89549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No54c185.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.368159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked No37c184.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No33c165$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No33c165$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5518152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No32c158.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9124047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c153.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.219652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f51…ee98backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011427.2%31 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.53423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No32c149.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6112722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No39c137.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5125248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes58c136.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7922553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed No47c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336a…ca0fbacked Yes65c126.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.619662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes66c118.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.79247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.99945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No33c110$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.716151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.911346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.