TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7ad…6b4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+40%+$39.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.7%+$41
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$101.21
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Geabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Australian Open Men's: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Jason Kublerbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$42.16
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Jaume Munarbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Australian Open Men's: Jason Kubler vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Kubler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+55.4%+$55.4
Australian Open Men's: Gonzalo Bueno vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Australian Open Men's: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Brisbane International: Jiri Lehecka vs Sebastian Kordabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Brisbane International: Grigor Dimitrov vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jesper de Jong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$295.76
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+79.7%+$119.48
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$40.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$47.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.