TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$863,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,077,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $863,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Yes56c150,000$83,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,593.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No43c109,009$47,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,113.238957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No45c79,986$35,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,993.563946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c51,537$22,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,3944,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,80017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No46c29,643$13,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,635.7810438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes57c22,173$12,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,534.392365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No36c20,506$7,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.3669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No48c20,450$9,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,816.14247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes56c19,982$11,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7929459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No44c18,660$8,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,302.52850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Yes52c10,665$5,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,119.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Yes55c10,363$5,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,640.166145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8004461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No44c9,058$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.739536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f4…a7fdbacked No45c8,889$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes55c7,473$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.3730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c7,172$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,227.3335442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No44c6,513$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.762433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes47c5,700$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.992623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.145646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fbc…84cabacked Yes54c5,195$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes55c5,191$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.924266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1192…3f36backed No46c5,186$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c5,104$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,521.690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.913046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No44c4,717$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.013930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c4,637$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.4750243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes54c4,596$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes46c4,376$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.3312338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes57c3,848$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes69c3,634$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.415052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No47c3,626$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,704.181833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c2…8775backed Yes55c3,618$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No58c3,517$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.751,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes56c3,476$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.2464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Yes76c3,300$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes46c3,143$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No44c3,096$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.346836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No45c2,863$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Yes45c2,667$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c2,362$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No47c2,323$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.961947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes55c2,250$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.515044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No42c2,222$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.231414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.40per pick55cpaid-73.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes53c2,180$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.7223727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No24c2,107$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,044$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.213,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9313845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9659…f19abacked Yes56c1,989$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No37c1,878$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.177851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c1,856$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.6155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e27…6afebacked Yes55c1,815$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77422335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes56c1,788$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.52661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No44c1,772$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes50c1,764$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.822433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ca…1d63backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.393268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No46c1,701$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.441216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c1,690$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.5453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c1,622$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.7928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes47c1,609$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.286061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c1,579$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3525648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes37c1,517$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.8914067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed Yes55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes56c1,461$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.712356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b4…1014backed Yes57c1,398$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.251250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a4…4813backed Yes55c1,363$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes37c1,337$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.748143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes52c1,285$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.696672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No45c1,259$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2525248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No44c1,250$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No43c1,192$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.496431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes55c1,182$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8211457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes57c1,163$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.911070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes56c1,161$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.711741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…4a13backed No44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Yes72c1,100$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Yes53c1,089$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.231485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a58…4508backed Yes56c1,075$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.681080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked No2c1,031$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ef4…a780backed Yes56c1,008$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes44c903.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3963548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf09…651fbacked Yes55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked No49c853.06$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418119.1%1 W · 10 L-5.5wins-0.50per pick59cpaid-88%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x70a2…6667backed Yes56c842.32$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes55c838$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes51c811.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.492839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No44c777$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.885740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd1c…61d7backed Yes56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.