TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f0d…5de2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10140.6%41 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,558.06
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,177.1
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$701
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$738.63
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69%+$967.17
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$401
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$233.33
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$554.77
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,067.18
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$278.67
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$154.02
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$649.09
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$268.83
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$709.43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$401.98
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$796.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.1
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$354.57
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$1,041.67
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.07
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$669.57
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$103.55
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.22
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Everton vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Everton win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+175.7%+$175.68
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+796%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+796%+$899.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.