TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PFK CSKA Sofiaof PFK CSKA Sofia, MH Maccabi Tel Aviv
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,496 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv6c3,676$233 inLost-$232.5227039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv28c3,264$924 inLost-$924.2879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PFK CSKA Sofia74c2,206$1,633 inWon+$573.0163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed PFK CSKA Sofia70c2,141$1,490 inWon+$650.964645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv29c2,090$605 inLost-$604.8678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf8…72ccbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv7c1,365$100 inLost-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv5c999.99$50 inLost-$5080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv15c518.21$77 inLost-$77922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked PFK CSKA Sofia71c357.12$253 inWon+$103.811250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+57.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked PFK CSKA Sofia61c356.17$219 inWon+$137.3597346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde98…b6cebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv8c334.14$26 inLost-$26.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv21c321.36$67 inLost-$67.115048%24 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b79…f3a9backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv8c284.22$23 inLost-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f1f…b823backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv10c250$25 inLost-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010d…d0e6backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv9c232$21 inLost-$20.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked PFK CSKA Sofia77c133.3$103 inWon+$30.35851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PFK CSKA Sofia74c131.68$97 inWon+$34.8937446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv24c104.17$25 inLost-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0d…5de2backed PFK CSKA Sofia68c100$68 inWon+$31.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked PFK CSKA Sofia75c86.5$65 inWon+$21.752171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv26c54.15$14 inLost-$14.0618244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked PFK CSKA Sofia76c50$38 inWon+$122951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked PFK CSKA Sofia76c43.55$33 inWon+$10.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…cd24backed PFK CSKA Sofia79c35$28 inWon+$7.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed PFK CSKA Sofia71c34.42$24 inWon+$103158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe9c…fd02backed PFK CSKA Sofia64c32.04$21 inWon+$11.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed PFK CSKA Sofia73c30$22 inWon+$8.042864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked PFK CSKA Sofia79c28$22 inWon+$5.822245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked PFK CSKA Sofia74c20.29$15 inWon+$5.294475%33 W · 11 L+9.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.