Europa Conference League · resolved market
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb230891b7a00ba69475197a30ab255423d9aa51bb0bd1d699cd3f66621f94501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 5,871$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.73 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,516$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.77 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 49c | 2,010$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,751$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.4 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 1,730$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.75 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 21c | 1,724$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,542$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 53c | 1,256$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.77 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Over | 47c | 1,235$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 964$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.9 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 944$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.87 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 630.22$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.47 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 78c | 513$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 78c | 513$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 294.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 276.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 232$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 184.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 156.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 147$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Over | 48c | 123.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 48c | 113.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 48c | 113.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 53c | 110.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 105.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 50c | 99.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 54c | 89.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 50c | 71.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 45c | 71.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…95c8backed Over | 71c | 67.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 51c | 57.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…c495backed Under | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 50c | 50.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 79c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 46.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 31c | 44.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 71c | 40.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…25f4backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 29.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 64c | 28.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…addabacked Over | 70c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…1493backed Over | 49c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 20.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5this page
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv O/U 1.5Over won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 0.5Over won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 1.5Over won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5Over won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 5.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: Team to AdvancePFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-2.5)PFK CSKA Sofia won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
- Spread: PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)MH Maccabi Tel Aviv won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.