TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6ff…879c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8932.6%29 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$134.8
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$732.47
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.25
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$19.64
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+232.6%+$279.75
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.25
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+719%+$499.08
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.35
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Birmingham Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+86%+$107.27
The Hundred: MI London vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
The Hundred: MI London vs London Spiritbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$75.2
ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealandbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$27.24
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$127.9
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$27.7
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$518.99
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.42
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$228.59
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
FC Dinamo City vs. FK Auda: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Shelbourne FC vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
RSC Anderlecht vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$121
FC Vaduz vs. FC Inter Turku: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
KF Víkingur vs. FC Thun: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Górnik Zabrze vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$68.02
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.69
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$213.73
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.79
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$365.39
Will FC Santa Coloma win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Ilves Tampere win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$245.39
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$191.7
Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+205.4%+$578.39
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Gaziantep FK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.77
Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$20.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+217.3%+$129.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$98.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.