Premier League · resolved market
York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31ccb547bed18b2e877a949d6f2052387a7949a1106e6f4af88ae8ae9cb08c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Over | 68c | 14,988$10,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,772.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 9,573$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.05 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 32c | 5,073$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.43 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 1,760$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.39 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 25c | 1,754$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,510$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 73c | 1,017$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 13c | 562.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 29c | 327.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 58c | 189.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 70c | 162$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 55c | 133.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 84.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 34c | 83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 82.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 28c | 77.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 33c | 75.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 31c | 73.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 58c | 69.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 106 | 79.2%84 W · 22 L | +23.2wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 67.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 56c | 64.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 18c | 60.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 32c | 59.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Over | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 26c | 46.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 31c | 46.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 73c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 31c | 43.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 79c | 37.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 39c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…7643backed Over | 57c | 35.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6226backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 80c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Crawley Town FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- Spread: York City FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Crawley Town FC O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: York City FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.