Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Crawley Town FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18244167dd7f228544893fd62a750a1c76c9167c13c5ca606115af1e051fc88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crawley Town FCof Crawley Town FC, York City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed York City FC | 69c | 414.83$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 798 | 36%287 W · 511 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Crawley Town FC | 8c | 320$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 1,218 | 32.2%392 W · 826 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed York City FC | 25c | 225.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Crawley Town FC | 74c | 134.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Crawley Town FC | 76c | 105.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Crawley Town FC | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Crawley Town FC | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,950 | 42.5%828 W · 1,122 L | -42.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Crawley Town FC | 66c | 41.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked York City FC | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crawley Town FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: York City FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Crawley Town FC O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: York City FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.