Premier League · resolved market
York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30fc14e01c52696e207baee1c21ca247249ba2ecec5c47a28516b04159c63ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 3,966$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.17 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,948$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 44c | 799.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.99 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 56c | 746.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.55 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 446.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Over | 51c | 446.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 288.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 60c | 250.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Over | 19c | 239.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 58c | 226.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 54c | 224.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 76c | 212.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 186.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 181.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 61c | 176.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 20c | 148.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 136.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 61c | 118.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…3493backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…8807backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 80.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 20c | 69.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 66.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 77c | 62.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 59.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 80c | 59.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 59c | 52.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 45.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…4c16backed Over | 57c | 43.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 54c | 43.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 59c | 39.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 59c | 38.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 59c | 35.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 42c | 33.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked Over | 54c | 30.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 26.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 23.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Crawley Town FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- Spread: York City FC (-1.5)Crawley Town FC won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: Crawley Town FC O/U 2.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: York City FC O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.