TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x768b…bf0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT4459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$484.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,118.02
France vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.73
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+131.9%+$368.04
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$2,973.26
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$6,228.83
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.14
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,202.35
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$1,010.38
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,361.81
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$141.21
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$142.89
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$533.05
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$854.42
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$179.15
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.67
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,228.16
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$561.15
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350.33
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,146.44
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.54
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.7
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$518
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$498.65
Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$406.91
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$582.25
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed Independiente Medellín · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.43
CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$810.85
CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,564.08
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,090.67
Caracas FC vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.71
CA Juventud vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.09
CA Juventud vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$366.54
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$485.64
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.2
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715.05
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360.88
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,725.13
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$111.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$716.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.