Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946a4a22a85768a03a33f668eadb7594383048eddba1f1fb7b90d0c566bab7e6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $517,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $542,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,477 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over	52c	163,463$85,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78,251.97	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	54c	80,279$43,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,211.1	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Under	48c	61,600$29,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,568	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over	52c	40,122$20,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,258.34	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under	48c	29,111$13,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,973.31	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	47c	28,890$13,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,447.06	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	28,166$13,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,172.92	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	52c	23,748$12,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,398.94	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	22,549$10,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,948.83	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	19,207$8,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,955.77	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under	47c	16,500$7,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,836	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Under	49c	13,901$6,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,806.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under	49c	12,824$6,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,283.65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-3.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under	49c	9,969$4,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,884.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under	49c	9,876$4,839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,839.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	48c	9,288$4,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,424.29	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under	48c	8,160$3,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,916.86	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	48c	8,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Under	46c	6,666$3,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066.36	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	48c	6,091$2,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.84	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	48c	6,033$2,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,895.74	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-6.7wins	-0.34per pick	49cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	48c	6,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under	49c	5,597$2,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,742.36	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under	49c	4,657$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.97	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under	48c	4,042$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2305…0acebacked Under	47c	3,904$1,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,834.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under	48c	3,702$1,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	48c	3,500$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	46c	3,332$1,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.03	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Over	51c	3,320$1,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,626.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	46c	2,827$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under	48c	2,782$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.57	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Under	48c	2,759$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under	48c	2,666$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.63	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under	47c	2,451$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,151.97	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under	42c	2,418$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.02	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	46c	2,389$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.49	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under	49c	2,366$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	48c	2,356$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.63	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under	48c	2,318$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	48c	2,275$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,091.88	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed Under	49c	2,128$1,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	47c	2,127$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.55	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.84	172	47.1%81 W · 91 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under	48c	2,028$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	48c	2,018$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.8	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under	49c	2,010$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.29	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	48c	2,008$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.47	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	49c	2,001$973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.37	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee2…c9cdbacked Over	53c	1,839$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$866.82	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	47c	1,805$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.8	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under	48c	1,744$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	48c	1,712$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.55	166	52.4%87 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under	46c	1,601$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.63	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under	48c	1,500$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under	47c	1,434$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.86	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	32c	1,434$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.24	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	1,403$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.88	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	52c	1,300$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$626.9	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	48c	1,075$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.66	146	52.7%77 W · 69 L	+11.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	48c	1,005$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.4	496	47.4%235 W · 261 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	15cpaid	+99%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Under	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Under	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	481	46.4%223 W · 258 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over	51c	999.99$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.6wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under	48c	968.79$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.02	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over	52c	933.85$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.25	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	48c	900$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under	49c	791.35$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.76	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	48c	729$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.92	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x784f…60cbbacked Under	48c	604.55$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under	45c	600$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over	52c	598.26$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.16	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	47c	596.26$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.51	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under	49c	593.51$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.82	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	43c	568.42$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.97	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over	52c	560.31$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.95	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	48c	528$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.44	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under	48c	503.01$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.73	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Over	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-7.2wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-47%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+7.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+31%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	496.14$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.2	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	46c	492.95$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.04	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	47c	454.82$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.93	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	48c	420$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event