TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ab2…8fda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
277
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 62 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT19745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.96
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.23
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$753.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$489.6
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$788.4
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.53
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$620.39
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.19
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$286
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$553.85
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$566.61
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$563.16
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$533
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$557.25
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$431.04
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,106.85
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.36
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$322.08
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$338.63
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$499.79
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$277.82
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$698
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.39
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$741.19
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,591Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127%+$2,019.4
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.9
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$925
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,044.81
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96%+$1,030.88
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,113.91
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,346.02
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$1,198.4
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$605.28
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$503.23
Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.68
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.02
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.77
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$402.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$557.28
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$891.45
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.81
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$247.45
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,069.92
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$576.25
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$567.54
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.86
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$956.45
Athletic Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+76%+$1,000.37
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$554.84
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$410.3
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.09
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,189.75
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.37
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,088.62
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$420.08
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed FC St. Pauli 1910 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$602.15
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.36
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.06
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$417.72
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.63
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.97
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$324.89
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,770.72
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$697.4
Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$566.39
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.2
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,156.1
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$585
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$851.35
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$871.22
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$357.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$175.91
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$164.16
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$186.44
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.9
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.56
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.39
Spread: Seattle Storm (-1.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$100.64
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$209.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Nigeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$500.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.