Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75438c8793747cb1ea975558160b5189479f3801b27cda36c29c34ee9fca31fb

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $156,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $169,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,331 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over	64c	52,188$33,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,895.37	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under	35c	20,264$7,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,059.33	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	58c	20,137$11,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,466.14	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	39c	18,251$7,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,115.5	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	36c	7,463$2,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,690.28	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	41c	4,033$1,644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,643.91	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	37c	3,630$1,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.05	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	45c	3,343$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.38	283	45.2%128 W · 155 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	42c	3,200$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	42c	3,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	63cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd181…5136backed Over	66c	2,992$1,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.54	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	42c	2,400$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	21c	2,381$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	41c	2,040$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.37	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under	40c	2,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.44per pick	31cpaid	+183.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under	40c	1,770$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.82	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	59c	1,620$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.38	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	41c	1,600$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over	58c	1,575$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.32	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	59c	1,465$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.85	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	40c	1,462$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584.88	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	33c	1,462$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.45	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	53c	1,408$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.65	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	42c	1,400$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	42c	1,200$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under	2c	1,185$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	47c	1,060$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.7	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	38c	1,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	36c	949.99$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.67	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over	58c	945.71$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.2	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Under	33c	894.06$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.93	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	3c	875$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	3%1 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	36c	806.42$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.06	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under	42c	755.75$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.88	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	50c	736.5$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.83	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	33c	730.89$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.22	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under	55c	707.99$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	42c	700$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	47c	650$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	42c	650$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	35c	618.4$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.37	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over	44c	613.38$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.09	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	41c	612$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.92	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under	19c	600$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	50	24%12 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	42c	600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	42c	600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	42c	600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Under	18c	555.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Under	18c	552.6$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.47	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+7.2wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	80c	545$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109	110	65.5%72 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	59c	504.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.24	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	57c	484.91$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.91	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	40c	480$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	42c	480$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	39c	475$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.89	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under	48c	467.71$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	58c	448.49$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.37	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	47c	444.7$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.7	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over	67c	442.22$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.93	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over	59c	423.73$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.73	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	42c	400$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	42c	400$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	42c	393$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.06	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	8c	350.05$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	4c	340$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Under	33c	322.94$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+80.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	42c	320$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.4	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	41c	320$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.2	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	42c	312.36$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.66	264	45.5%120 W · 144 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under	37c	312.35$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.89	73	28.8%21 W · 52 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over	77c	300$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	42c	280$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	42c	280$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a1…73dbbacked Under	19c	261.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	41c	240$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	41c	240$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under	55c	238.99$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.44	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	59c	227.74$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.37	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	41c	203.2$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.31	94	59.6%56 W · 38 L	+6.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under	16c	186.28$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.42	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	61c	182.2$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.41	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	56c	178.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.56	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	68c	175.62$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.62	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	60c	167$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.8	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	42c	160$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under	33c	151.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over	64c	149.67$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.88	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under	19c	131.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23b…d300backed Under	39c	128.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Over	61c	113.59$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.3	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	37c	112.71$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.38	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under	39c	111.93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Over won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event