TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f7e…cbbd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT11659.5%69 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Brod n Friends vs Epic Avalanche - Game 2 Winnerbacked Brod n Friends · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$209.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$351
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$197.46
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$536.01
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$216.33
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$195.15
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$256.75
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$138.59
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$145.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+73%+$145.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$202.17
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$341.54
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.94
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.75
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$169.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.22
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$914.65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$250.34
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$171.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.58
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$163.88
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$242.18
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.7
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$147.21
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$124.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Gamebox Festival Playoffsbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.95
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$121.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$169.27
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$237.43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$197.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$218.07
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$131.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$277.45
Tanasie vs. Yesypchuk: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$221.65
Asuncion 2: Nick Hardt vs Juan Estevezbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$258.12
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$204.31
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$673.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$292
Sinner vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$196.4
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.67
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$268.18
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.25
Mexican Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$349
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Chile Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Pegula vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+82.5%+$206.21
Andreeva vs. Anisimova: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$221.66
Brisbane 2: Alex Bolt vs Hiroki Moriyabacked Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$84.38
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$166.27
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.24
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$93.33
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+150%+$225
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$175.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$152.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$561
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.3%+$281.59
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120.47
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$264.62
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.96
Michael Olise: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$222.73
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.79
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.72
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+105%+$245.79
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$295.06
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.42
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Czechia vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+84.9%+$103.99
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$95.85
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$194.22
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$175.38
Egypt vs. Benin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$175
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.63
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$146.77
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$234.4
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$243
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.43
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$284.4
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Bucks vs. Pelicans: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$123.95
Rockets vs. Hornets: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$528.19
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$144.24
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$314.29
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$247.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$95.97
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$193.88
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$146.83
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$139.87
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$166.73
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+90.7%+$158.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$181.03
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$106.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$218.09
Dayton Flyers vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$178.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$415.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.